Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho
  • Daniel Henrique 6' goal
  • Luiz Dudu Carneiro 66' yellowcard
  • Jean Angulo 78' yellowcard
  • Coala 82' yellowcard
  • Arian Taperaçu 82' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Coala 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucca 24'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Dias 46'
  • yellowcard Kewen 60'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Cachoeira 71'
  • yellowcard Rafael Donato 86'
  • yellowcard Hebert 87'

Castanhal vs Club Guarani - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castanhal

Club Guarani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Guarani win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Castanhal had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Guarani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Castanhal win was 1-0 (11.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Castanhal 32.8% (+0.71)
Draw 29.67% (+0.33)
Club Guarani 37.53% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.52% (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.2% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 33.8% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 40.79% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 59.21% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 20.6% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 79.4% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 10.25% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 89.75% (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Castanhal 28.29% (+0.44)
Draw 47.16% (-0.47)
Club Guarani 24.55% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Castanhal 45.26% (-0.36)
No Goal 10.98% (-0.03)
Club Guarani 43.76% (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 50.07% (+1.67)
Equal 8 11.92% (-0.11)
Under 8 38.01% (-1.54)
Over 9 38.63% (+1.61)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.05)
Under 9 49.93% (-1.67)
Over 10.5 28.54% (+1.44)
Under 10.5 71.46% (-1.45)

Castanhal Goals

Over 1.5 29.04% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 70.96% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 9.39% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 90.61% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.24)

Club Guarani Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 32.53% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 33.12% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 66.88% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 12.59% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 87.41% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.56% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.44% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Castanhal 32.81%
Draw 29.67%
Club Guarani 37.52%
Castanhal
1-0 @ 11.36% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.27% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.78% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.54% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.99% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.42% (+0.17)
Total : 32.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.08)
Total : 29.67%
Club Guarani
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.43)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41% (-0.10)
Total : 37.52%