Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.01% and a win for CRB had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%) , while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.