Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sousa win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for CRB had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sousa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest CRB win was 0-1 (10.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.