Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Hulk  42' goal
  • Guga 61' yellowcard
  • Agustín Canobbio 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 85' goal
  • Martinelli 86' yellowcard
  • Germán Cano  90'+2' goal
  • goal Gustavo Gómez   10'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Piquerez 34'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 73'
  • goal Mauricio 82'

Fluminense vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.00am
Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 8.00pm
Palmeiras 0 - 0 Internacional
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (9.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 36.18% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 27.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Palmeiras 36.53% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.83% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.01% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 49.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 27.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 32.06% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 43.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Palmeiras 24.61% ▲ (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 49.13% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 7.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Palmeiras 43.4% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 61.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 27.57% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 50.35% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 38.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 39.44% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 60.56% ▲ (+0.10)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 35.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 64.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 14.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 70.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 29.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 14.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.13% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Fluminense 36.17%
Draw 27.3%
Palmeiras 36.52%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 36.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.3%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.52%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor Roque 9' yellowcard
  • Allan 13' goal
  • Agustín Giay 59' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 59' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 70' yellowcard
  • Ramón Sosa 70' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otávio 25'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 40'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo  46'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  62'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 87'
Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marcos Rocha 85' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 6'
  • goal Kevin Serna 37'
  • yellowcard German Cano 41'
  • yellowcard Fabio 83'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Breno Lopes 17' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 18' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 30' goal
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 32'
  • redcard Lucas Justen 55'
  • yellowcard Lele 75'