Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 9, 2026 1.00am
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danilo

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 0 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.34%. A draw has a probability of 29.35% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.31%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (9.74%).

Result

Botafogo 43.34% (+0.70)
Draw 29.35% (-0.14)
Fluminense 27.34% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.87% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.86% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 34.14% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 39.79% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 60.21% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 19.53% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 80.44% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 9.92% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 90.08% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 35.27% (+0.06)
Draw 43.94% (-0.08)
Fluminense 20.79% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 53.04% (+0.08)
No Goal 11.1% (-0.12)
Fluminense 35.86% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.35% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.8% (-0.06)
Over 9 44.41% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 43.65% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 33.39% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 66.61% (-0.07)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 36.45% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 63.55% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 13.67% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 86.33% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 4.2% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.8% (-0.13)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 59.68% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 40.32% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 24.36% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 75.64% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 7.55% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 92.45% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.8% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.2% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Botafogo 43.36%
Draw 29.35%
Fluminense 27.35%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.36% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.83% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.28% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.53% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.44% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.11% (+0.13)
Total : 43.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.1% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 29.35%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71% (-0.04)
Total : 27.35%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Luciano Acosta 55' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 74' yellowcard
  • Guga 74' yellowcard
  • Hercules 87' yellowcard
  • Hércules  87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Barrera 24'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ribeiro 46'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fernandes 46'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 69'
  • yellowcard Kadir Barria 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 82'
  • yellowcard L. Villalba 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 83'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Alexander Barboza 16' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 16' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 24' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 24' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 37' goal
  • Vitinho 37' goal
  • Gregore 71' yellowcard
  • Gregore 71' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+5' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+5' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 41'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 41'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Freytes 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Freytes 56'
  • yellowcard Ganso 59'
  • yellowcard Ganso 59'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 68'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 21, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Felipe Melo 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 90'+4'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 12, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
  • Tiquinho 15' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 15' yellowcard
  • Tche Tche 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Tche Tche 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Bastos 67' goal
  • Bastos 67' goal
  • Marcelo 75' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martinelli 11'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 11'
  • yellowcard Ganso 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ganso 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 74'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Keno 38' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 45'+4' yellowcard
  • F. Diniz 87' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Santos 20'
  • goal Tiquinho 22'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 25'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 35'