Copa Libertadores
Aug 11, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw has a probability of 24.89% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia has a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it is 0-1 (7.11%).

Result

Fluminense 51.6% (+0.18)
Draw 24.89% (-0.06)
Independiente Rivadavia 23.48% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.41% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.78% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.22% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.06% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.94% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.47% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.53% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.96% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.04% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 36.46% (+0.07)
Draw 45.62% (-0.04)
Independiente Rivadavia 17.92% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 59.52% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.89% (+0.02)
Independiente Rivadavia 32.59% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 48.32% (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.63% (+0.06)
Over 9 36.92% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.68% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 27% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 73% (+0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 46.31% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 53.69% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 21.39% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.61% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.05)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 57.8% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 42.2% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 24.5% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 75.5% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 7.53% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 92.47% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.99% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.01% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fluminense 51.59%
Draw 24.91%
Independiente Rivadavia 23.48%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.2% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.72% (+0.05)
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.91%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.98% (-0.03)
Total : 23.48%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
  • Álex Arce  66' goal
  • Iván Villalba 79' yellowcard
  • Alejo Osella 82' yellowcard
  • Juan Elordi 82' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Ríos 86' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alisson 78'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 78'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Serna 82'
  • goal John Kennedy 90'+1'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Guilherme Arana 10' goal
  • Facundo Bernal  46' yellowcard
  • Guga 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 66' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 77' yellowcard
  • Wesley Natã 81' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrizio Sartori 37'
  • goal Álex Arce  51'
  • yellowcard Juan Elordi 74'
  • yellowcard Alejo Osella 74'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Ríos 81'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
  • yellowcard Iván Villalba 87'