Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Tucuman
Jul 26, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Independiente Rivadavia

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
River Plate 0 - 1 Tucuman
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Leandro Diaz

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 10, 2026 1.30am
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 2 Union
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Fabrizio Sartori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Atletico Tucuman has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 30.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.42%) and 1-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win is 1-0 (12.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.07%).

Result

Atletico Tucuman 32.5% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 30.44%
Independiente Rivadavia 37.06% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.27% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 38.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 34.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 65.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 15.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 84.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 7.21%
Under 4.5 92.79%

First Half Winner

Atletico Tucuman 28.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 49.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Independiente Rivadavia 22.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Atletico Tucuman 49.47% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 12.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Independiente Rivadavia 37.92% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.3% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 45.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 43.03% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 34.07% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 65.93% ▼ (-0.12)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 1.5 25.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 74.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 65.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 28.78% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 71.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atletico Tucuman 32.5%
Draw 30.45%
Independiente Rivadavia 37.06%
Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.07% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 12.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.45%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 13.31% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.06%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division
Independiente Rivadavia
Jan 24, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Tucuman
  • Matias Fernandez 9' goal
  • Matías Fernández 9' goal
  • Fabrizio Sartori 71' yellowcard
  • Alejo Osella 79' goal
  • Ezequiel Bonifacio 82' yellowcard
  • Diego Crego 83' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bonifacio 83' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vazquez 90' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vázquez 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Atencio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Diaz 41'
  • yellowcard Leandro Díaz 41'
  • yellowcard Franco Nicola Albanell 46'
  • yellowcard Franco Nicola Albanell 49'
  • yellowcard Franco Nicola 49'
  • yellowcard Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu 69'
  • yellowcard Clever Ferreira 69'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Godoy 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lamendola 89'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gabriel Abeldaño 89'
  • yellowcard Carlos Abeldano 89'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Tucuman
Aug 5, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Independiente Rivadavia
  • Matias de los Santos 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Ferrari 49' goal
  • Gianluca Ferrari 49' goal
  • Gianluca Ferrari 54' goal
  • Gianluca Ferrari 54' goal
  • Gianluca Ferrari 54' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Ferrari 54' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Romero 12'
  • goal Fernando Romero 12'
  • yellowcard Tiago Palacios 38'
  • yellowcard Tiago Palacios 38'
  • yellowcard Bruno Bianchi 54'
  • yellowcard Bruno Bianchi 54'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Tucuman
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Independiente Rivadavia
  • Guillermo Acosta 18' goal
  • Guillermo Acosta 18' goal
  • Guillermo Acosta 26' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 26' yellowcard
  • Renzo Tesuri 33' goal
  • Renzo Tesuri 33' goal
  • Renzo Tesuri 49' yellowcard
  • Renzo Tesuri 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tobias Ostchega 26'
  • yellowcard Tobias Ostchega 26'
  • yellowcard Matias Ruiz 50'
  • yellowcard Matias Ruiz 50'
  • goal Luciano Abecasis 71'
  • goal Luciano Abecasis 71'
  • goal Fabrizio Sartori Prieto 82'
  • goal Fabrizio Sartori 82'
  • yellowcard Luciano Abecasis 88'
  • yellowcard Luciano Abecasis 88'

Form Data

River Plate 0 - 1 Tucuman
Tucuman 1 - 1 Banfield
Argentinos Jrs 1 - 0 Tucuman
Tucuman 0 - 0 Tigre
Rosario 2 - 1 Tucuman
Tucuman 1 - 0 Gimnasia
Bolivar 1 - 3 Independiente Rivadavia
Deportivo 2 - 4 Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 2 Union
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Fluminense
Aldosivi 1 - 1 Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia 4 - 1 Deportivo