Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2026 8.45pm
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Sarmiento vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 11.00pm
Banfield 3 - 2 Sarmiento
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Rivadavia 2 - 1 Huracan
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Fabrizio Sartori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw has a probability of 28.51% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Sarmiento win it is 1-0 (9.53%).

Result

Sarmiento 23.27% (+0.04)
Draw 28.51% (-0.01)
Independiente Rivadavia 48.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.05% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.99% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 36.01% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 36.97% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 63.03% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 17.26% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.74% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.41% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.59% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Sarmiento 21.48% (-0.01)
Draw 48.74% (+0.03)
Independiente Rivadavia 29.77% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sarmiento 37.49%
No Goal 11.66% (-0.01)
Independiente Rivadavia 50.85% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.3% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.17%
Under 8 33.54% (-0.06)
Over 9 42.23% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.7% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 31.29% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 68.71% (-0.05)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 1.5 19.48% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.52% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.63% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.37% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.95% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.05% (-0.02)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 72.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.71% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.48%
Under 2.5 85.52%
Over 3.5 4.41%
Under 3.5 95.59%

Score analysis

Sarmiento 23.28%
Draw 28.52%
Independiente Rivadavia 48.25%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1%
3-2 @ 1%
Other @ 0.94% (+0.01)
Total : 23.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 11.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.52%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 14.87% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 10.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 48.25%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2026 12.15am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Fabrizio Sartori 21' goal
  • Alejo Osella 52' goal
  • Bautista Dadín 72' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Rios 72' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Ríos 72' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bonifacio 81' yellowcard
  • Stefano Moreyra 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Cabrera 46'
  • yellowcard Julian Contrera 46'
  • yellowcard Julián Contrera 46'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martinez 62'
  • yellowcard Junior Marabel 62'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martínez 62'
  • goal Junior Marabel 69'
  • yellowcard Brandon Márquez 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
May 26, 2024 9.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Emanuel Hernandez 29' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 56' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Gallardo 73' redcard
  • Fernando Godoy 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Ruiz 35'
  • yellowcard Mauro Maidana 56'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 81'
  • goal Gaston Gil Romero 86'