Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.