Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirassol would win this match.

Result
Mirassol	Draw	Corinthians
45.23% ( 0.02)	27.16% ( -0.01)	27.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.6% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75% (

0.01)

57.25% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9% (

0.01)

78.1% (

-0.01)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.01)

25.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

0.02)

59.98% (

-0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.66% (

-0.01)

36.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88% (

-0.01)

73.12% (

Score Analysis

Mirassol 45.22%

Corinthians 27.61%

Draw 27.16%

Mirassol	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.62% 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.61%