Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.