Copa Sudamericana
May 15, 2025 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Gaston Bueno 52' yellowcard
  • Jorge Alejandro Severo Cordero 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Mana 14'
  • yellowcard Charles 43'
  • goal Matheus Bidu 74'

Racing de Montevideo vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 8, 2025 11.00pm
Racing 1 - 3 Huracan

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2025 1.30am
Corinthians 1 - 1 America

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result

Racing de Montevideo 20.73% (-0.20)
Draw 28.45% (-0.03)
Corinthians 50.82% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.38% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.17% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 65.83% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 15.53% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 84.46% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 5.9% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 94.1% (+0.04)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 52.18% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 47.82% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 16.9% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 83.1% (+0.21)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 73.55% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.44% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 38.38% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.61% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 20.73%
Draw 28.44%
Corinthians 50.81%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 4.58% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 20.73%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.64% (+0.05)
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 28.44%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 16.82% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 11.18% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 50.81%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 24, 2025 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Felix Torres 15' redcard
  • Memphis Depay 27' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 52' goal
  • Raniele 57' yellowcard
  • Breno Bidon 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 57'
  • yellowcard Gaston Bueno 77'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Jesus Pinela Borysiuk 82'
Copa Sudamericana
May 28, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Antonio Oliveira 6' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 22' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 25' goal
  • Raniele 42' yellowcard
  • Caca 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 58' goal
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 5'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 21'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 3, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Lucas Rodriguez 84' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alaniz 85' goal
  • Agustin Alaniz 85' goal
  • Agustin Pereira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pereira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo 14'
  • yellowcard Hugo 14'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 69'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 69'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 89'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 89'