Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.46%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.