Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.