Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Danubio
0 - 0
Racing


Gonzalez (34')
FT

Pablo Bosca Fraquelli (75'), Pablo Bosca Fraquelli (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, April 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro Largo
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawRacing de Montevideo
42.16% (1.211 1.21)28.93% (-0.314 -0.31)28.91% (-0.894 -0.89)
Both teams to score 43.54% (0.435 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27% (0.725 0.73)62.73% (-0.722 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (0.525 0.52)82.27% (-0.521 -0.52)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (1.054 1.05)29.43% (-1.05 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (1.268 1.27)65.43% (-1.265 -1.27)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (-0.307 -0.31)38.29% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (-0.298 -0.3)75.05% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 42.15%
    Racing de Montevideo 28.9%
    Draw 28.93%
DanubioDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.43% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 13.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 11.27% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.93%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 28.9%

Head to Head
Nov 17, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Racing
0-0
Danubio
Espinosa (16'), Rodriguez (21'), Bacchia (22'), Magallanes (58'), Magallanes (65')
Rodriguez (45')
Femia (54')
May 19, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
Danubio
0-1
Racing

Ferreira (13'), Gonzalez (30'), Apud (30'), Novick (90+5')
Bueno (86')
Ferreira (25')
Oct 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-2
Racing

Silva (22'), Romero (45'), Zarate (84')
Veron (32'), Rivero (55')
Hernandez (83'), Hernandez (84')
Mar 3, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 5
Racing
1-1
Danubio
Veron (68')
Fernandez (18')
Nov 27, 2019 8pm
Danubio
3-2
Racing
Martinones (45', 93'), Jones (71')
Jair Rodriguez Cejas (9'), Fabricio Siles Morales (21'), Martinones (57'), Ghan (83')
Quinones (80'), Royon (90')
Daryl Araujo Villar (32'), Melian (33'), Sena (48'), Silva (72')
Arismendi (92'), Sena (93')
rhs 2.0


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