Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.