Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 43.1%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.98%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.