Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 8, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 9.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Danilo

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 5 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw has a probability of 27.19% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (8.07%).

Result

Botafogo 45.75%
Draw 27.19%
Vasco da Gama 27.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.27%
Under 1.5 28.73%
Over 2.5 46.46%
Under 2.5 53.54%
Over 3.5 24.55%
Under 3.5 75.45%
Over 4.5 13.16%
Under 4.5 86.84%

First Half Winner

Botafogo 29.91%
Draw 48.49%
Vasco da Gama 21.6%

Team To Score First

Botafogo 53.3%
No Goal 8.63%
Vasco da Gama 38.07%

Corners

Over 8 56.12%
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 32.28%
Over 9 44.47%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 43.88%
Over 10.5 33.7%
Under 10.5 66.3%

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 41.55%
Under 1.5 58.45%
Over 2.5 17.11%
Under 2.5 82.89%
Over 3.5 5.65%
Under 3.5 94.35%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 61.7%
Under 0.5 38.3%
Over 1.5 27.53%
Under 1.5 72.47%
Over 2.5 9.25%
Under 2.5 90.75%
Over 3.5 2.38%
Under 3.5 97.62%

Score analysis

Botafogo 45.74%
Draw 27.19%
Vasco da Gama 27.11%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.52%
Total : 45.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 27.19%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 8.07%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • David 61' goal
  • Marino Hinestroza 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 70' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caio Roque 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 60'
  • goal Lucas Villalba 66'
  • yellowcard Kadir Barría 68'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 68'
  • yellowcard Kadir Barría 69'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 69'
  • goal Matheus Martins 79'
  • yellowcard Newton  88'
Brasileiro
Nov 5, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Sep 12, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 12, 2025 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 6, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Jefferson Savarino 9' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 9' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 12' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 12' goal
  • Junior Santos 71' goal
  • Junior Santos 71' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 37'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 37'
  • redcard Joao Victor 44'
  • redcard Joao Victor 44'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 86'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 86'