Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 19, 2026 9.00pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 11.30pm
Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Botafogo has a probability of 28.05% and a draw has a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Botafogo win is 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.77%).

Result

Mirassol 44.64% (-0.40)
Draw 27.31% (+0.24)
Botafogo 28.05% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.56% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.14% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 29.86% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 44.76% (-1.78)
Under 2.5 55.24% (+1.78)
Over 3.5 23.08% (-0.94)
Under 3.5 76.92% (+0.94)
Over 4.5 12% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 88% (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 32.63% (-1.50)
Draw 46.43% (+1.36)
Botafogo 20.94% (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 52.9% (-1.92)
No Goal 9.15% (+0.34)
Botafogo 37.95% (+1.58)

Corners

Over 8 62.89% (+1.51)
Equal 8 10.92% (+0.07)
Under 8 26.19% (-1.58)
Over 9 51.3% (+1.28)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.24)
Under 9 37.11% (-1.51)
Over 10.5 40.03% (+0.93)
Under 10.5 59.97% (-0.93)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 39.77% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 60.23% (+1.06)
Over 2.5 15.87% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 84.13% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 5.12% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.88% (+0.18)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 62.08% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 37.92% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 27.04% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 72.96% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 8.6% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 91.4% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 2.18% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 97.82% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Mirassol 44.64%
Draw 27.31%
Botafogo 28.05%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.97% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.99% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.16)
Other @ 5.11% (-0.11)
Total : 44.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 9.15% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.07)
Total : 27.31%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 8.74% (+0.46)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.6% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.17% (-0.13)
Total : 28.05%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2026 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Arthur Cabral 11' goal
  • Alex Telles  43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Barrera 62' yellowcard
  • Caio Roque 63' yellowcard
  • Júnior Santos 66' goal
  • Matheus Martins 70' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Montoro 70' yellowcard
  • Matheus Martins 71' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Montoro 71' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • goal Shaylon 21'
  • yellowcard André Luis 64'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 73'
  • yellowcard Edson Carioca 73'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Denilson 77'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pires 77'
  • yellowcard Denilson 78'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pires 78'
  • goal Igor Formiga 90'+2'
Brasileiro
Nov 1, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Sep 17, 2025 11.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT