Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 19, 2026 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Eduardo 16' goal
  • Eduardo 45'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Huguinho 35'

Mirassol vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 11.30pm
Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 44.38% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 27.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Botafogo 28.28% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 44.63%
Under 2.5 55.37%
Over 3.5 23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.06% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 32.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 47.01% ▲ (+0.37)
Botafogo 20.77% ▼ (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 52.8% ▲ (+0.13)
No Goal 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Botafogo 38% ▼ (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 62.8% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 26.29% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 51.22% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 37.2% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 39.97% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 10.5 60.03% ▼ (-0.27)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 39.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 60.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 62.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 27.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 8.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 91.34% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.79% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Mirassol 44.37%
Draw 27.35%
Botafogo 28.28%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.93% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32%
Other @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 44.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.35%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2026 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Arthur Cabral 11' goal
  • Alex Telles  43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Barrera 62' yellowcard
  • Caio Roque 63' yellowcard
  • Júnior Santos 66' goal
  • Matheus Martins 70' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Montoro 70' yellowcard
  • Matheus Martins 71' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Montoro 71' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • goal Shaylon 21'
  • yellowcard André Luis 64'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 73'
  • yellowcard Edson Carioca 73'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Denilson 77'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pires 77'
  • yellowcard Denilson 78'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pires 78'
  • goal Igor Formiga 90'+2'
Brasileiro
Nov 1, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Sep 17, 2025 11.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT