Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Vitoria
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
Botafogo
  • Matheuzinho 27' goal
  • Ramon 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martínez 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Huguinho 2'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 29'
  • yellowcard Franclim Carvalho 29'
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzón 61'
  • redcard Arthur Cabral 90'+4'

Vitoria vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 11.30pm
Flamengo 2 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Renê

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.00am
Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-2 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 46.01% ▲ (+4.98)
Draw 26.08% ▼ (-0.85)
Botafogo 27.9% ▼ (-4.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.17% ▲ (+0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.68% ▲ (+1.69)
Under 1.5 22.32% ▼ (-1.68)
Over 2.5 54.6% ▲ (+1.76)
Under 2.5 45.4% ▼ (-1.76)
Over 3.5 31.78% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 3.5 68.21% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 4.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 4.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 29.1% ▲ (+2.98)
Draw 46.31% ▼ (-1.45)
Botafogo 24.59% ▼ (-1.52)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 52.81% ▲ (+5.14)
No Goal 6.25% ▼ (-1.00)
Botafogo 40.94% ▼ (-4.15)

Corners

Over 8 61.87% ▼ (-3.59)
Equal 8 10.8% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 8 27.32% ▲ (+3.97)
Over 9 50.53% ▼ (-2.69)
Equal 9 11.34% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 9 38.13% ▲ (+3.59)
Over 10.5 39.59% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 10.5 60.41% ▲ (+1.54)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 46.74% ▲ (+4.77)
Under 1.5 53.26% ▼ (-4.77)
Over 2.5 21.7% ▲ (+3.06)
Under 2.5 78.3% ▼ (-3.07)
Over 3.5 8.73% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 3.5 91.27% ▼ (-1.74)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 64.79% ▼ (-2.76)
Under 0.5 35.21% ▲ (+2.76)
Over 1.5 31.97% ▼ (-2.76)
Under 1.5 68.03% ▲ (+2.77)
Over 2.5 11.62% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 2.5 88.38% ▲ (+1.90)
Over 3.5 3.4% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 3.5 96.6% ▲ (+0.84)

Score analysis

Vitoria 46%
Draw 26.09%
Botafogo 27.91%
Vitoria
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.83)
1-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.95)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.87)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 8.47% ▲ (+1.69)
Total : 46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-1.00)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 26.09%
Botafogo
1-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.31)
0-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.94)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.89)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.54)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.90)
Total : 27.91%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Botafogo
Jul 23, 2026 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
Vitoria
  • Mateo Ponte 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martínez 34'
Brasileiro
Vitoria
Nov 9, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Botafogo
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Botafogo
Jul 17, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Vitoria
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Botafogo
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Vitoria
  • Gregore 36' yellowcard
  • Mateo Ponte 68' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 80' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 87' goal
  • Cuiabano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Alerrandro 20'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 63'
  • yellowcard Patric 82'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Vitoria
Jul 12, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
Botafogo
  • Muriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Muriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Janderson 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Janderson 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 37'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 37'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 62'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 62'
  • yellowcard Gregore 77'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 77'
  • yellowcard Diego Hernandez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Diego Hernandez 90'+7'
Copa do Brasil
Vitoria
May 22, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
Botafogo
  • Thiago Carpini 0' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Junior 78' goal
  • Daniel Junior 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Henrique 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Halter 51'
  • yellowcard John 53'
  • goal Junior Santos 63'
  • yellowcard Cuiabano 65'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 77'
  • yellowcard Hugo 82'

Form Data

Flamengo 2 - 0 Vitoria
Vitoria 4 - 0 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Vitoria
Vitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras
Remo 2 - 0 Vitoria
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Cienciano 6 - 1 Botafogo
Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense
Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Botafogo
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Botafogo 2 - 1 Santos