Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 30, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Pedro

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2026 12.00am
Botafogo 2 - 3 Athletico PR
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.25% and a win for Botafogo has a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.22%) , while for a Botafogo win it is 0-1 (4.06%).

Result

Flamengo 68.52% (-0.13)
Draw 19.25% (-0.06)
Botafogo 12.23% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.76% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.24% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.5% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.63% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.37% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 48.62% (-0.09)
Draw 38.5% (+0.15)
Botafogo 12.88% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 69.88% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.43% (-0.04)
Botafogo 24.69% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 55.52% (-0.20)
Equal 8 10.6% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.88% (+0.20)
Over 9 44.88% (-0.20)
Equal 9 10.64%
Under 9 44.48% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 35% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 65% (+0.19)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 62.47% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.53% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 34.53% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 65.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 15.5% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 84.5% (+0.07)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 46.55% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 53.45% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 15.74% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 84.26% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 3.56% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 96.44% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.66% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.34% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 68.52%
Draw 19.25%
Botafogo 12.23%
Flamengo
2-0 @ 12.49% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.57% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.04)
Other @ 15.49% (-0.08)
Total : 68.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.25%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 4.06% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.74% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.49% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.65% (+0.03)
Total : 12.23%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Newton 46' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 46' yellowcard
  • Mateo Ponte 55' yellowcard
  • Júnior Santos 71' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 81' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Lino 13'
  • goal Léo Pereira 45'+2'
  • goal Pedro 49'
  • yellowcard Vitão 65'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Lucas 65'
  • yellowcard Evertton Araújo 70'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 86'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araújo 86'
Brasileiro
Oct 15, 2025 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Wesley 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinho 17'
  • yellowcard Allan 68'
  • yellowcard Cuiabano 75'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 79'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 10.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Mateo Ponte 3' goal
  • Cuiabano 33' yellowcard
  • Mateo Ponte 52' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 54' goal
  • Alexander Barboza 56' yellowcard
  • Matheus Martins 84' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 86' yellowcard
  • Matheus Martins 90'+4' goal
  • goal Bruno Henrique 24'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Lucas 63'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moises de Lima 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jefferson Savarino 15'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 43'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 53'
  • yellowcard Luiz Henrique 57'
  • yellowcard Jeffinho 79'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Joao Victor 19' goal
  • Victor Cuesta 50' yellowcard
  • Tche Tche 85' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 90'+8' redcard
  • Gabriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Marlon Freitas 2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ayrton Lucas 43'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 45'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 73'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 90'+5'