Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 6, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 8.00pm
Flamengo 3 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Danilo

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Botafogo has a probability of 31.6% and a draw has a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Botafogo win is 1-0 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Botafogo 31.6% (-0.01)
Draw 29.2% (+0.03)
Palmeiras 39.2% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.5% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.5% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.77% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.23% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25%
Under 3.5 75%
Over 4.5 13.36%
Under 4.5 86.64%

First Half Winner

Botafogo 27.06% (+0.03)
Draw 45.27% (-0.02)
Palmeiras 27.67% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 45.55% (-0.06)
No Goal 9.31% (+0.03)
Palmeiras 45.14% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.7% (+0.25)
Equal 8 10.06% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.24% (-0.25)
Over 9 54.81% (+0.24)
Equal 9 10.88% (+0.02)
Under 9 34.3% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 43.97% (+0.20)
Under 10.5 56.03% (-0.20)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 31.74% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.26% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.82% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.18% (-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.9% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.16% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.84% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.66% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.62%
Under 3.5 95.38%

Score analysis

Botafogo 31.6%
Draw 29.2%
Palmeiras 39.19%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39% (+0.02)
Total : 31.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.31% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.2%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.03% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 39.19%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2026 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Allan 9' goal
  • Jhon Arias 53' goal
  • Ramón Sosa 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 72' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 72' yellowcard
  • Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos 85' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodríguez 46'
  • yellowcard L. Villalba 57'
  • goal Danilo 59'
  • yellowcard Artur 70'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Justino 70'
  • yellowcard Artur 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Correa 80'
Brasileiro
Aug 18, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club World Cup
Jun 28, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
ET
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 30, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Murilo Cerqueira 43' yellowcard
  • Mayke 62' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 50'
  • yellowcard Artur 57'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Nov 27, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marcos Rocha 70' redcard
  • Marcos Rocha 70' redcard
  • Mayke 83' yellowcard
  • Mayke 83' yellowcard
  • Richard Rios 90'+3' goal
  • Richard Rios 90'+3' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Gregore 19'
  • goal Gregore 19'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 46'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+4'
  • yellowcard John 58'
  • yellowcard John 58'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 62'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 62'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 73'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 73'
  • goal Adryelson 89'
  • goal Adryelson 89'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 22, 2024 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 35' yellowcard
  • Richard Rios 35' yellowcard
  • Richard Rios 35' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 86' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 86' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 86' goal
  • Rony 90' goal
  • Rony 90' goal
  • Rony 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 35'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 35'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 35'
  • yellowcard Gregore 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Gregore 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Gregore 45'+3'
  • goal Igor Jesus 56'
  • goal Igor Jesus 56'
  • goal Igor Jesus 56'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 64'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 64'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 64'
  • yellowcard John 81'
  • yellowcard John 81'
  • yellowcard John 81'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 89'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 89'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 89'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 90'+10'