Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 30, 2026 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Eduardo  50' goal
  • Denilson 85' yellowcard
  • Neto Moura 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 27'
  • goal Mauricio 75'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 90'+6'
  • redcard Arthur Gabriel 90'+8'

Mirassol vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Santos 1 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Palmeiras 4 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.34% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 25.6% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 28.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Palmeiras 46.06% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 29.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 44.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 55.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.83% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 23.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 43.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Palmeiras 32.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 37.96% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Palmeiras 53.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.79%
Under 8 25.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 53.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.5%
Under 9 35.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 43.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 56.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 26.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 73.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.28%
Under 3.5 97.72%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 75.29% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 42.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 17.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.62% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Mirassol 25.6%
Draw 28.34%
Palmeiras 46.05%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.34%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 46.05%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • José Manuel López 26' goal
  • Lucas Evangelista 58' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 70' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Piquerez 70' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martínez 80' yellowcard
  • Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiquinho Soares 46'
  • yellowcard Victor Luís 46'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pires 46'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fogaça 73'
  • yellowcard Alesson 78'
Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 16, 2025 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT