Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 30, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Santos 1 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Palmeiras 4 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw has a probability of 28.38% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 1-0 (8.34%).

Result

Mirassol 25.45% (-0.20)
Draw 28.38% (+0.04)
Palmeiras 46.17% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.74% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 29.26% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 44.89% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 55.11% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 25% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 13.19% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.81% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 23.67% (-0.03)
Draw 43.71% (+0.04)
Palmeiras 32.62%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 37.95%
No Goal 8.92% (+0.08)
Palmeiras 53.13% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.39% (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.79%
Under 8 25.82% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.89% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.5%
Under 9 35.61% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 43.47% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 56.53% (+0.03)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 26.03% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 73.97% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 8.46% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 91.54% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.28% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.72% (+0.04)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 75.39% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.61% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 42.52% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.48% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 17.77% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.23% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.41% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.59% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 25.46%
Draw 28.39%
Palmeiras 46.17%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.91% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.99% (-0.04)
Total : 25.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.92% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 28.39%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 12.02% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 9.05% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 4.03% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 6.12% (+0.03)
Total : 46.17%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • José Manuel López 26' goal
  • Lucas Evangelista 58' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 70' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Piquerez 70' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martínez 80' yellowcard
  • Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiquinho Soares 46'
  • yellowcard Victor Luís 46'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pires 46'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fogaça 73'
  • yellowcard Alesson 78'
Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 16, 2025 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT