Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 3 Santos
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 5 Flamengo
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw has a probability of 24.7% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 0-1 (7.18%).

Result

Santos 55.83% (+0.36)
Draw 24.7% (-0.75)
Mirassol 19.44% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.49% (+1.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.52% (+1.69)
Under 1.5 30.48% (-1.70)
Over 2.5 44.02% (+1.90)
Under 2.5 55.98% (-1.90)
Over 3.5 22.7% (+1.25)
Under 3.5 77.3% (-1.25)
Over 4.5 12.66% (+0.81)
Under 4.5 87.34% (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Santos 42.46% (+1.82)
Draw 42.48% (-1.56)
Mirassol 15.06% (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Santos 62.49% (+0.40)
No Goal 8.88% (-0.85)
Mirassol 28.63% (+0.45)

Corners

Over 8 56.27% (+0.93)
Equal 8 11.75% (+0.03)
Under 8 31.98% (-0.95)
Over 9 44.45% (+0.82)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.12)
Under 9 43.73% (-0.93)
Over 10.5 33.53% (+0.63)
Under 10.5 66.47% (-0.63)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 46.84% (+1.21)
Under 1.5 53.16% (-1.21)
Over 2.5 21.05% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 78.95% (-0.94)
Over 3.5 7.54% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 92.46% (-0.48)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 52.61% (+1.08)
Under 0.5 47.39% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 18.91% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 81.09% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 4.89% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 95.11% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 1.05% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.95% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Santos 55.84%
Draw 24.71%
Mirassol 19.43%
Santos
1-0 @ 14.4% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.24)
3-0 @ 5.65% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.14)
Other @ 7.53% (+0.48)
Total : 55.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.85)
2-2 @ 3.72% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.71%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 4.89% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.04% (+0.09)
Total : 19.43%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 11, 2026 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Igor Formiga 21' goal
  • Alesson 69' yellowcard
  • André Luis  69' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca  69' yellowcard
  • Negueba 71' goal
  • Antonio Galeano 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pires 79' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 65'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 65'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 66'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 66'
  • yellowcard Zé Ivaldo 74'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 74'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 88'
Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 19, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT