Copa Sudamericana
Aug 20, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Bellavista de Ambato
  • Denilson Bolaños 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 11'
  • yellowcard Rony 90'+1'

Macara vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 13, 2026 11.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Macara

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 13, 2026 11.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Macara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Macara had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Macara win was 1-0 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Macara 30.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 28.47% ▲ (+0.28)
Santos 40.95% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.55% ▲ (+0.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 33.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 41.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 58.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 21.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 78.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 10.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.06% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Macara 25.82% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 46.65% ▲ (+0.30)
Santos 27.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Macara 44.77% ▲ (+0.50)
No Goal 10.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Santos 44.55% ▼ (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 53.75% ▼ (-0.83)
Equal 8 11.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 34.74% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 9 42.4% ▼ (-0.72)
Equal 9 11.36% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 9 46.25% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 10.5 32.07% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 10.5 67.93% ▲ (+0.56)

Macara Goals

Over 1.5 27.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 72.3% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 9.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.45% ▼ (-0.04)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 69.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.96% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Macara 30.58%
Draw 28.47%
Santos 40.94%
Macara
1-0 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 28.47%
Santos
0-1 @ 12.59% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.94%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Aug 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Gabriel Barbosa 44' goal
  • Gonzalo Escobar 61' yellowcard
  • Willian Arão 76' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 77' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Barreal 82' yellowcard
  • Rony 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Posse 5'
  • yellowcard Luis Ayala 45'+5'
  • yellowcard José Cazares 73'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rodríguez 77'
  • yellowcard Jean Estacio 80'
  • yellowcard Jordán Mohor 90'
  • yellowcard Denilson Bolaños 90'+2'