Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 22, 2026 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Bellavista de Ambato
  • Jordán Mohor 67' yellowcard
  • Jordano Zambrano 67' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leonardo Chamba Chenche 82' yellowcard
  • L. Ferro 82' yellowcard
  • C. Caicedo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard José Villegas 46'
  • yellowcard German Gaston Diaz 61'
  • yellowcard Jorge del Castillo 62'
  • yellowcard Ariel Muñoz 86'
  • yellowcard Cristian Penilla 90'+1'

Macara vs Alianza Atletico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.00am
Macara 2 - 2 Tigre

Alianza Atletico

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 3.00am
Alianza Atletico 0 - 2 America

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macara win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Alianza Atletico had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Alianza Atletico win was 0-1 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Macara 42.37% (-0.10)
Draw 27.98% (+0.06)
Alianza Atletico 29.65% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.41% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.66% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 32.34% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 41.78% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 58.22% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 20.64% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 79.36% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 10.39% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 89.61% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Macara 30.05% (-0.08)
Draw 47.77%
Alianza Atletico 22.18% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Macara 52.85% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.81% (+0.12)
Alianza Atletico 37.34% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 54.38% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.86% (-0.07)
Under 8 33.76% (+0.24)
Over 9 42.62% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.09)
Under 9 45.62% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 31.92% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 68.08% (+0.02)

Macara Goals

Over 1.5 36.39% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 63.61% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 13.96% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 86.04% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 4.29% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.71% (+0.10)

Alianza Atletico Goals

Over 0.5 61.84% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 38.16% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.86% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 73.14% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 8.33% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.67% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Macara 42.37%
Draw 27.97%
Alianza Atletico 29.66%
Macara
1-0 @ 12.72% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.25% (-0.09)
Total : 42.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.81% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 27.97%
Alianza Atletico
0-1 @ 9.81% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.02% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Total : 29.66%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 3.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao
  • Guillermo Larios 46' yellowcard
  • Jesús Alexander Mendieta Rojas 62' yellowcard
  • Cristian Penilla 62' yellowcard
  • S. Quiroga 62' yellowcard
  • Alejo Antilef 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Posse 4'
  • goal Matías Miranda 34'
  • yellowcard Gastón Blanc 70'
  • yellowcard Toño Espinoza 70'
  • yellowcard Denilson Bolaños 80'
  • yellowcard L. Ferro 88'
  • yellowcard Jose Klinger 89'