Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orense win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Macara had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Macara win was 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.