Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 3.00am
Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao

Alianza Atletico vs America de Cali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Atletico

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 3.00am
Alianza Atletico 0 - 2 Macara

America de Cali

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Tigre 2 - 0 America

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Atletico win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for America de Cali has a probability of 29.13% and a draw has a probability of 28.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Atletico win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest America de Cali win is 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.29%).

Result

Alianza Atletico 42.37% (+0.03)
Draw 28.53% (-0.08)
America de Cali 29.13% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.01% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.95% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 34.05% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 39.32% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 60.68% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 19.55% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 80.45% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 10.01% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 89.99% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Alianza Atletico 31.23% (-0.10)
Draw 47.52% (+0.02)
America de Cali 21.25% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Alianza Atletico 50.45% (+0.28)
No Goal 10.63% (-0.13)
America de Cali 38.92% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 42.94% (+1.20)
Equal 8 12.43% (-0.01)
Under 8 44.63% (-1.19)
Over 9 31.68% (+1.11)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.10)
Under 9 57.06% (-1.20)
Over 10.5 22.3% (+0.93)
Under 10.5 77.7% (-0.93)

Alianza Atletico Goals

Over 1.5 35.37% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 64.63% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 13.35% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.65% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.73% (-0.02)

America de Cali Goals

Over 0.5 60.16% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 39.84% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 25.18% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 74.82% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 7.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.22% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.97%
Under 3.5 98.03%

Score analysis

Alianza Atletico 42.37%
Draw 28.54%
America de Cali 29.13%
Alianza Atletico
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.02)
Total : 42.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.63% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.54%
America de Cali
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 29.13%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
  • Daniel Valencia 44' goal
  • Yeison Guzmán 55' yellowcard
  • Darwin Machís 75' yellowcard
  • José Cavadia 84' yellowcard
  • Adrián Ramos 84' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 84' yellowcard
  • Brayan Correa 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Brayan Correa 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ariel Muñoz 31'
  • yellowcard Stefano Fernández 58'
  • yellowcard S. Quiroga 74'
  • yellowcard Valentín Robaldo 74'
  • yellowcard Jorge del Castillo 86'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Larios 87'
  • yellowcard Jorge del Castillo 87'