Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Atletico win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Atletico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 0-1 (10.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.