Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 3.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
LIVE Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao
  • Guillermo Larios 46' yellowcard
  • Jesús Alexander Mendieta Rojas 62' yellowcard
  • Cristian Penilla 62' yellowcard
  • S. Quiroga 62' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Posse 4'
  • goal Matías Miranda 34'

Alianza Atletico vs Macara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Atletico

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
America 2 - 1 Alianza Atletico

Macara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Tigre 0 - 1 Macara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Atletico win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Macara has a probability of 30.9% and a draw has a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Atletico win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Macara win is 0-1 (9.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.9%).

Result

Alianza Atletico 41.51% (-0.04)
Draw 27.56%
Macara 30.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.53% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.47% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 43.24%
Under 2.5 56.76%
Over 3.5 22.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.57%
Over 4.5 11.93% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.07% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Alianza Atletico 30.77%
Draw 47.62%
Macara 21.61%

Team To Score First

Alianza Atletico 51.48% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.34% (-0.03)
Macara 39.18% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.16%
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 37.89%
Over 9 38.68%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 49.84%
Over 10.5 28.55%
Under 10.5 71.45%

Alianza Atletico Goals

Over 1.5 36.2% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.93% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.45% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.55% (-0.02)

Macara Goals

Over 0.5 63.01% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.99% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.54%
Under 1.5 71.46%
Over 2.5 10.06% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.99%
Under 3.5 97.01%

Score analysis

Alianza Atletico 41.5%
Draw 27.56%
Macara 30.88%
Alianza Atletico
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 41.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 27.56%
Macara
0-1 @ 9.67% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.9% (-0.02)
Total : 30.88%