Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 3.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao
  • Guillermo Larios 46' yellowcard
  • Jesús Alexander Mendieta Rojas 62' yellowcard
  • Cristian Penilla 62' yellowcard
  • S. Quiroga 62' yellowcard
  • Alejo Antilef 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Posse 4'
  • goal Matías Miranda 34'
  • yellowcard Gastón Blanc 70'
  • yellowcard Toño Espinoza 70'
  • yellowcard Denilson Bolaños 80'
  • yellowcard L. Ferro 88'
  • yellowcard Jose Klinger 89'

Alianza Atletico vs Macara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Atletico

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
America 2 - 1 Alianza Atletico

Macara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Tigre 0 - 1 Macara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Atletico win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Macara had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Atletico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Macara win was 0-1 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Alianza Atletico 41.51%
Draw 27.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Macara 30.92% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.46% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.44% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 31.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 43.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 56.84% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 22.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 77.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 88.12% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Alianza Atletico 30.65% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 47.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Macara 21.65% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Alianza Atletico 51.18% ▼ (-0.30)
No Goal 9.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Macara 39.45% ▲ (+0.28)

Corners

Over 8 50.34% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 8 11.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 37.7% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 9 38.84% ▲ (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 49.66% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 10.5 28.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 71.33% ▼ (-0.13)

Alianza Atletico Goals

Over 1.5 36.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 63.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 14.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Macara Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.99%
Under 3.5 97.01%

Score analysis

Alianza Atletico 41.51%
Draw 27.53%
Macara 30.93%
Alianza Atletico
1-0 @ 12.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.53%
Macara
0-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.93%