Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Bellavista de Ambato

Macara vs Tigre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 3.00am
Alianza Atletico 0 - 2 Macara

Tigre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Tigre 2 - 0 America

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macara win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Tigre has a probability of 32.63% and a draw has a probability of 30.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macara win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Tigre win is 0-1 (12.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.73%).

Result

Macara 37.23% (-0.09)
Draw 30.11% (-0.04)
Tigre 32.63% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.19% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.4% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.6% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 35.38% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 64.59% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 83.59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 7.67% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 92.33% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Macara 26.99%
Draw 49.74% (-0.02)
Tigre 23.27% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Macara 47.31% (-0.22)
No Goal 12.18% (-0.02)
Tigre 40.51% (+0.23)

Corners

Over 8 54.82% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.28% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.9% (+0.04)
Over 9 42.58% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 45.18% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.44% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.56% (+0.05)

Macara Goals

Over 1.5 29.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.48% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 9.65% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.35% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.58%
Under 3.5 97.42%

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 62.12% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.88% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.11% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.89% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.97% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Macara 37.22%
Draw 30.11%
Tigre 32.63%
Macara
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73%
0-0 @ 12.18% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.11%
Tigre
0-1 @ 12.13% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Total : 32.63%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • Elías Cabrera 74' yellowcard
  • Manuel Fernández 74' yellowcard
  • Valentín Moreno 74' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Paz 54'
  • yellowcard Toño Espinoza 77'
  • yellowcard L. Ferro 77'
  • yellowcard Martín Tello 81'
  • yellowcard Jeison Chalá 90'