Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Bellavista de Ambato
  • Toño Espinoza 9' yellowcard
  • Felipe Zenobio 38' goal
  • Gastón Blanc 46' yellowcard
  • Jose Klinger 60' yellowcard
  • L. Ferro 73' yellowcard
  • Jordán Mohor 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Franco Posse 75' goal
  • goal David Romero 17'
  • goal David Romero 51'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Juan Villalba 73'
  • yellowcard Santiago López 82'
  • yellowcard Jalil Elías 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Mosqueira 90'+2'

Macara vs Tigre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 3.00am
Alianza Atletico 0 - 2 Macara

Tigre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Tigre 2 - 0 America

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macara win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (12.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Macara 37.25% (+0.03)
Draw 30.17% (+0.07)
Tigre 32.58% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.21% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.42% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 37.58% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 35.42% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 64.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 7.65% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 92.35% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Macara 27.01% (+0.03)
Draw 49.82% (+0.08)
Tigre 23.17% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Macara 47.19% (-0.13)
No Goal 12.18%
Tigre 40.63% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 54.71% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.3% (+0.03)
Under 8 33% (+0.11)
Over 9 42.46% (-0.12)
Equal 9 12.25% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.29% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 31.33% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 68.67% (+0.11)

Macara Goals

Over 1.5 29.52%
Under 1.5 70.48%
Over 2.5 9.65%
Under 2.5 90.35%
Over 3.5 2.58%
Under 3.5 97.42%

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 62.13% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.87% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Macara 37.24%
Draw 30.18%
Tigre 32.59%
Macara
1-0 @ 13.31% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.55% (-0.03)
Total : 37.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.75% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12.18%
2-2 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 30.18%
Tigre
0-1 @ 12.1% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88% (-0.02)
Total : 32.59%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • Elías Cabrera 74' yellowcard
  • Manuel Fernández 74' yellowcard
  • Valentín Moreno 74' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Paz 54'
  • yellowcard Toño Espinoza 77'
  • yellowcard L. Ferro 77'
  • yellowcard Martín Tello 81'
  • yellowcard Jeison Chalá 90'