Copa do Brasil
Sep 3, 2026 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Cacá 51' yellowcard
  • Luan Cândido 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard José Luis Rodríguez 78'
  • goal Andrés Gómez 81'
  • goal José Luis Rodríguez 90'+7'

Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
Vasco 1 - 0 Vitoria

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
Vasco 1 - 0 Vitoria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Vitoria has a probability of 35.15% and a draw has a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Vitoria win is 1-0 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result

Vitoria 35.15% (+0.20)
Draw 25.61% (-0.16)
Vasco da Gama 39.24% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.95% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.57% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 26.43% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 50.13% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 49.87% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 27.19% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 72.81% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.86% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.14% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 24.97% (+0.01)
Draw 48.26% (+0.06)
Vasco da Gama 26.78% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 49.85% (+0.15)
No Goal 7.3%
Vasco da Gama 42.85% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 56.42% (+0.39)
Equal 8 11.29% (-0.02)
Under 8 32.29% (-0.37)
Over 9 45.05% (+0.35)
Equal 9 11.37% (+0.03)
Under 9 43.58% (-0.39)
Over 10.5 34.52% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 65.48% (-0.30)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 35.05%
Under 1.5 64.95%
Over 2.5 12.95% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.05% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.14%
Under 3.5 95.86%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 71.32% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 28.68% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 37.79% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 62.21% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 15.46% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 84.54% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.93% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.07% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Vitoria 35.15%
Draw 25.62%
Vasco da Gama 39.25%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.42% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.13% (+0.04)
Total : 35.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 25.62%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 9.88% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.92% (-0.03)
Total : 39.25%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cauan Barros 18' redcard
  • Andrés Gómez 59' goal
  • yellowcard Caíque Gonçalves 38'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Brítez 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Renato Kayzer 69' goal
Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 33' redcard
  • Janderson 38' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 60' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 90' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 12'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 42'
  • yellowcard Loide Augusto 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Neris 74' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 84' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Victor 72'
  • yellowcard Willean Bernardo Willemen 85'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Maicon 28' yellowcard
  • Maicon 51' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 56' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 57' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 84' yellowcard
  • David 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 57'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 59'
  • yellowcard David 66'
  • goal Iury Castilho 89'
  • redcard Camutanga 90'+3'