Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
Vitoria 1 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Renê

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Bahia
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Bahia has a probability of 29.04% and a draw has a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bahia win is 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Vitoria 44.22% (+0.08)
Draw 26.77% (+0.04)
Bahia 29.04% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.22% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.78% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.54% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 51.46% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.74% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 74.26% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.82% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 86.18% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 29.18% (-0.06)
Draw 42.91% (+0.15)
Bahia 27.91% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 50.11% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.86% (+0.05)
Bahia 42.03% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.21% (+0.17)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.18% (-0.15)
Over 9 49.02% (+0.15)
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 38.79% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 37.38% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 62.62% (-0.14)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 41.72%
Under 1.5 58.28%
Over 2.5 17.12%
Under 2.5 82.88%
Over 3.5 5.7% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.3% (+0.01)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 63.91% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.09% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.51% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 70.49% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 10.52% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 89.48% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.8% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.2% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vitoria 44.22%
Draw 26.77%
Bahia 29.04%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 10.91% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 7.68% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 5.61% (-0.01)
Total : 44.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.77%
Bahia
0-1 @ 8.04% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.71% (-0.04)
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 11, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Willian José 5' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 45'+6' goal
  • M. Sanabria 61' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Ademir 74' yellowcard
  • Michel Araújo 74' yellowcard
  • David Martins Almeida de Lira 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 46'
  • goal Ramon 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Erick 61'
  • yellowcard Camutanga 71'
  • yellowcard Aitor Cantalapiedra 71'
  • yellowcard Jamerson 90'+6'
Brasileiro
Oct 17, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Jean Lucas 5' redcard
  • Erick da Costa Farias 23' goal
  • Gilberto 53' yellowcard
  • Erick da Costa Farias 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 66' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald 12'
  • yellowcard Claudinho 40'
  • yellowcard Erick 41'
  • goal Renato Kayzer 54'
  • yellowcard Osvaldo 63'
  • redcard Pepe 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everton Ribeiro 15' goal
  • Alerrandro 49' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 81' yellowcard
  • Yago 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Luciano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Kanu 49'
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 53'
  • redcard Thiago Carpini 54'
  • yellowcard Pablo Santos de Alcantara 82'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 20' goal
  • Leo Naldi 23' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 42' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 57' goal
  • Zeca 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 48'
  • yellowcard Victor Cuesta 51'
  • goal Gabriel Teixeira 69'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 72'
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Leo Ceara 2' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 8' goal
  • Leo Ceara 68' goal
  • Bruno 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Benitez 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 17'
  • goal Nilton 39'
  • yellowcard Junior Brumado 67'
  • goal Ramires 72'
  • yellowcard Nilton 84'
  • yellowcard Douglas Grolli 96'