Brasileiro
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Arena Condá
  • Giovanni Augusto 19' goal
  • Marcinho 48' goal
  • Tulio Eduardo 71' goal
  • Camilo 89' yellowcard
  • goal Alejo Veliz 13'
  • goal Kauan Faria 42' (OG)
  • goal Nicolás Acevedo 65'
  • yellowcard Mateo Sanabria 84'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulga 90'+2'

Chapecoense vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 12.30am
Coritiba 2 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Marcinho

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 8.00pm
Bahia 0 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Chapecoense 32.76% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 28.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Bahia 38.88% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 29.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 45.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 54.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 23.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.6% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 27.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 44.54% ▼ (-0.14)
Bahia 28.1% ▲ (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 42.89% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 8.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Bahia 48.24% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 67.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 22.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 56.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 44.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 55.17% ▲ (+0.08)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 31.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.6% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 10.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 71.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 63.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 13.72% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 86.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.77% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 32.75%
Draw 28.3%
Bahia 38.87%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.3%
Bahia
0-1 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.87%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Rodrigo Nestor 12' goal
  • Román Gómez 34' goal
  • Zé Guilherme 64' yellowcard
  • Luciano Juba 83' yellowcard
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gilberto 2' goal
  • Rai Nascimento de Oliveira 20' goal
  • Rai Nascimento 20' goal
  • Rai Nascimento de Oliveira 46' yellowcard
  • Rai Nascimento 46' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 52' goal
  • Luiz Otavio 52' goal
  • yellowcard Kaio 50'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jul 4, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ezequiel 53' yellowcard
  • Derlan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thonny Anderson 28'
  • goal Gilberto 66'
  • goal Rodrigoinho 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 7, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Marco Antonio 85' goal
  • Arthur 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas 9'
  • goal Henrique Almeida 14'
  • yellowcard Roberto 81'
  • yellowcard Renato Silva 92'
Brasileiro
Jul 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcio Araujo 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 4, 2018 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Fonseca 12' yellowcard
  • Jose Elber 67' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 93'