Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 9, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 1.30am
Coritiba 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Chapecoense 0 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coritiba win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw has a probability of 27.42% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (8.9%).

Result

Coritiba 47.39% (+0.36)
Draw 27.42% (-0.52)
Chapecoense 25.16% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.18% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.63% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 32.37% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 41.71% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 58.29% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 20.88% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 79.13% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 10.53% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.47% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 32.41% (+0.99)
Draw 48.56% (-0.69)
Chapecoense 19.03% (-0.30)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 56.09% (-0.12)
No Goal 9.77% (+0.02)
Chapecoense 34.14% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.58% (+0.40)
Equal 8 11.18% (-0.06)
Under 8 26.24% (-0.34)
Over 9 50.73% (+0.41)
Equal 9 11.85% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.42% (-0.40)
Over 10.5 39.25% (+0.40)
Under 10.5 60.75% (-0.40)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 40.09% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 59.91% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 15.79% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 84.21% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 5.03% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 94.97% (-0.08)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 58.49% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 41.51% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 23.36% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.64% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.43% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 93.57% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.48% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.52% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Coritiba 47.39%
Draw 27.42%
Chapecoense 25.15%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 13.66%
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.15% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.95% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.02% (+0.07)
Total : 47.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.36)
0-0 @ 9.77% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.42%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.47% (+0.03)
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Condá
  • Walter Clar 45' goal
  • Higor Meritao 46' yellowcard
  • Meritão 46' yellowcard
  • Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor de Souza Martins 69' yellowcard
  • Italo de Vargas da Rosa 69' yellowcard
  • Rubens 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor 69' yellowcard
  • Italo Vargas 69' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vinicius Domachowski 71' goal
  • Doma 71' goal
  • Yannick Bolasie 87' yellowcard
  • Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 90'+1' goal
  • Rubens 90'+1' goal
  • goal Breno Lopes 41'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos 55'
  • yellowcard Jacy Maranhao Oliveira 55'
  • yellowcard Vini Paulista 55'
  • yellowcard Jacy 55'
  • goal Breno Lopes 57'
  • goal Pedro Rocha 59'
  • yellowcard Fernando Sobral 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Vágner Moraes de Souza 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Vagner Moraes de Souza 73'
  • yellowcard Keno 83'