Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 9, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Tiago Cóser 31' goal
  • Bruno Melo 32' yellowcard
  • Pedro Rocha 82' goal
  • yellowcard Rubens 56'
  • goal Tulio Eduardo 90'+5'

Coritiba vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 1.30am
Coritiba 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Chapecoense 0 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.93% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%) , while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Coritiba 49.82% (-0.04)
Draw 26.93% (-0.11)
Chapecoense 23.25% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.99% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.04% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 31.96% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 41.99% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 58.01% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 21.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.98% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.76% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.24% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 34.66% (+0.02)
Draw 47.21% (-0.12)
Chapecoense 18.13% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 57.21% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.5% (-0.04)
Chapecoense 33.29% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.91% (+0.27)
Equal 8 10.85% (-0.04)
Under 8 24.24% (-0.25)
Over 9 53.17% (+0.28)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 35.09% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 41.59% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 58.41% (-0.25)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 41.9% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 58.1% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 17.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 82.98% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.41% (+0.02)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 56.91% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 43.09% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.66% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.34% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.71% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.29% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.27% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.73% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Coritiba 49.82%
Draw 26.93%
Chapecoense 23.25%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 13.97% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.58% (-0.02)
Total : 49.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.5% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.93%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 8.49% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.26% (+0.04)
Total : 23.25%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Condá
  • Walter Clar 45' goal
  • Higor Meritao 46' yellowcard
  • Meritão 46' yellowcard
  • Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor de Souza Martins 69' yellowcard
  • Italo de Vargas da Rosa 69' yellowcard
  • Rubens 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor 69' yellowcard
  • Italo Vargas 69' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vinicius Domachowski 71' goal
  • Doma 71' goal
  • Yannick Bolasie 87' yellowcard
  • Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 90'+1' goal
  • Rubens 90'+1' goal
  • goal Breno Lopes 41'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos 55'
  • yellowcard Jacy Maranhao Oliveira 55'
  • yellowcard Vini Paulista 55'
  • yellowcard Jacy 55'
  • goal Breno Lopes 57'
  • goal Pedro Rocha 59'
  • yellowcard Fernando Sobral 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Vágner Moraes de Souza 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Vagner Moraes de Souza 73'
  • yellowcard Keno 83'