Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 29, 2026 10.30pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 10.30pm
Internacional 0 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Vitoria 0 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw has a probability of 24.79% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.6%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (6.01%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 60.84% (-0.19)
Draw 24.79% (+0.17)
Vitoria 14.37% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.81% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.97% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 32.03% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 42.86% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 57.14% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 22.07% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 77.93% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 12.75% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 87.25% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 45.84% (+0.03)
Draw 40.38% (-0.01)
Vitoria 13.78% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 64.82% (-0.12)
No Goal 10.17% (+0.19)
Vitoria 25.01% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.79% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.04% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.18% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.18% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.61% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.21% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 38.98% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 61.02% (+0.04)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 49.8% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 50.2% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 23.3% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 76.7% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 8.94% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 91.06% (+0.11)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 45.68% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 54.32% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 14.33% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 85.67% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 3.32%
Under 2.5 96.68%
Over 3.5 0.65%
Under 3.5 99.35%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 60.85%
Draw 24.8%
Vitoria 14.37%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 15.87% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.86% (-0.11)
Total : 60.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.8%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.69%
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 14.37%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 14, 2026 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Erick 16' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 20' goal
  • Edenilson 46' yellowcard
  • Renzo López 67' yellowcard
  • Anderson Pato 67' yellowcard
  • Erick 68' goal
  • Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 46'
  • yellowcard Dudu 58'
  • yellowcard Hulk 58'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 73'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 74'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Fausto Vera 8' goal
  • Bruno Fuchs 26' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 45' goal
  • Everson 81' redcard
  • goal Wagner Leonardo 64'
  • goal Alerrandro 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Matheuzinho 8' goal
  • Caio Vinicius 35' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 44' goal
  • Luan 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 66' goal
  • Erick Castillo 76' goal
  • goal Gustavo Scarpa 14'
  • yellowcard Romulo Helberth Pereira Junior 37'
  • goal Brahian Palacios 88'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 26, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Leo Ceara 41' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 69' goal
  • Jeferson 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 24'
  • yellowcard Iago Maidana 31'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chara 72'