Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 29, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Thiago Borbas 25' goal
  • Angelo Preciado 44' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  59' yellowcard
  • Reinier 63' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 35'
  • goal Erick 87'

Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 10.30pm
Internacional 0 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Vitoria 0 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 60.97%
Draw 24.7%
Vitoria 14.36% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.92%
Under 2.5 57.08%
Over 3.5 22.1%
Under 3.5 77.9%
Over 4.5 12.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.18% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 46.53%
Draw 39.82%
Vitoria 13.65%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 64.56% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Vitoria 25.32%

Corners

Over 8 61.58%
Equal 8 11.05%
Under 8 27.37%
Over 9 49.98%
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 38.42%
Over 10.5 38.8%
Under 10.5 61.2%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 50.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.19%
Under 2.5 76.81%
Over 3.5 8.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 45.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 54.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 14.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 85.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.26% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 60.98%
Draw 24.7%
Vitoria 14.35%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 15.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.78%
Total : 60.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.7%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.6%
0-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 14.35%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 14, 2026 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Erick 16' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 20' goal
  • Edenilson 46' yellowcard
  • Renzo López 67' yellowcard
  • Anderson Pato 67' yellowcard
  • Erick 68' goal
  • Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 46'
  • yellowcard Dudu 58'
  • yellowcard Hulk 58'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 73'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 74'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Fausto Vera 8' goal
  • Bruno Fuchs 26' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 45' goal
  • Everson 81' redcard
  • goal Wagner Leonardo 64'
  • goal Alerrandro 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Matheuzinho 8' goal
  • Caio Vinicius 35' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 44' goal
  • Luan 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 66' goal
  • Erick Castillo 76' goal
  • goal Gustavo Scarpa 14'
  • yellowcard Romulo Helberth Pereira Junior 37'
  • goal Brahian Palacios 88'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 26, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Leo Ceara 41' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 69' goal
  • Jeferson 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 24'
  • yellowcard Iago Maidana 31'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chara 72'