Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 20, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Gremio 1 - 2 Vasco
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 1.00am
Coritiba 3 - 3 Athletico PR
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw has a probability of 23.68% and a win for Coritiba has a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.55%) and 2-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.53%) , while for a Coritiba win it is 0-1 (6.14%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 56.4% (+2.84)
Draw 23.68% (-1.22)
Coritiba 19.92% (-1.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.03% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.97% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 26.03% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 49.24% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.27% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 73.73% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 14.97% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.03% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 45.7% (+3.64)
Draw 42.49% (-2.22)
Coritiba 11.81% (-1.41)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 69.05% (+2.10)
No Goal 7.07% (-0.42)
Coritiba 23.88% (-1.68)

Corners

Over 8 60.92% (+5.00)
Equal 8 11.56% (+0.50)
Under 8 27.52% (-5.49)
Over 9 48.82% (+3.98)
Equal 9 12.1% (+1.01)
Under 9 39.08% (-5.00)
Over 10.5 37.27% (+2.70)
Under 10.5 62.73% (-2.70)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 49.99% (+1.89)
Under 1.5 50.01% (-1.89)
Over 2.5 23.26% (+1.18)
Under 2.5 76.74% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 8.63% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 91.37% (-0.70)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 55.26% (-1.93)
Under 0.5 44.74% (+1.93)
Over 1.5 21.72% (-1.83)
Under 1.5 78.28% (+1.83)
Over 2.5 6.24% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 93.76% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 1.51% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 98.49% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 56.39%
Draw 23.69%
Coritiba 19.93%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.83% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 10.55% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 10.42% (+0.92)
3-0 @ 5.81% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.62% (+0.73)
Total : 56.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.29)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.30)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 23.69%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 6.14% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.5% (-0.36)
Total : 19.93%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Vini Paulista 46' yellowcard
  • Keno 63' yellowcard
  • JP Chermont 77' yellowcard
  • Felipe Jonatan 77' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 77' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 78' yellowcard
  • Alan Saldivia 90' goal
  • goal Tchê Tchê 24'
  • yellowcard Cauan Barros 62'
  • yellowcard Brenner 62'
  • yellowcard Matheus França 72'
  • yellowcard Riquelme Avellar 85'
  • yellowcard João Vitor Silva 85'
  • yellowcard João Victor 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 21, 2023 11.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Ze Gabriel 8' goal
  • Rossi 34' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 50' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 63' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 81' goal
  • yellowcard Andreas Samaris 3'
  • yellowcard Willian Farias 73'
  • goal Sebastian Gomez 80'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Ze Roberto 45'+4' goal
  • goal Erick Marcus 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Jan 17, 2021 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Matos 24' yellowcard
  • Henrique 30' redcard
  • Bruno Gomes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan 33'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 42'
  • goal Hugo Moura 44'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Sep 20, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Martin Sarrafiore 41' yellowcard
  • Robson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ygor Catatau 34'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 86'
Brasileiro
Jul 2, 2017 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira (Curitiba, Paraná)