Sep 6, 2026 1.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Juan Pablo Freytes 21'
Ignácio 45'+5'
Hulk 45'+6'
Yeferson Soteldo 45'+6'
Luciano Acosta 61'

Andrés Gómez 9'
Daniel Fuzato 21'
Paulo Henrique 40'
Facundo Colidio 54'

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

D
W
D
W
D
D

Brasileiro

D
W
W
D
D
D

Last game

Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm

Athletico PR 3 - 3 Fluminense

Goals scored

40

Top scorer

John Kennedy

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
L

Brasileiro

W
L
L
D
D
D

Last game

Aug 30, 2026 1.20am

Vasco 3 - 1 Cruzeiro

Goals scored

27

Top scorer

Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.76% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 56.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 24.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Vasco da Gama 18.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

49.09% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.57% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 27.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 47.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 52.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 26.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 73.63% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 4.5 15.22%

Under 4.5 84.78%

First Half Winner

Fluminense 39.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 43.8% ▼ (-0.05)

Vasco da Gama 17.06%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 61.43% ▼ (-0.07)

No Goal 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Vasco da Gama 30.71% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 51.07% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 8 11.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 36.97% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 9 39.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 9 11.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 48.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 10.5 29.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 10.5 70.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 49.9% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 1.5 50.1% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 2.5 23.3% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 76.7% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 91.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 53.82%

Under 0.5 46.18%

Over 1.5 20.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 79.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 94.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 1.41%

Under 3.5 98.59%

Score analysis

Fluminense 56.66%

Draw 24.75%

Vasco da Gama 18.57%

Fluminense

1-0 @ 13.44% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.77%

Other @ 8.82%

Total : 56.66%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.64%

0-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 24.75%

Vasco da Gama

0-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 4.88%

0-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 1.55%

2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 18.57%

Head to Head

Aug 6, 2026 1.30am

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

John Kennedy 5'
Guilherme Arana 39'
Ganso 75'
Martinelli 77'

Jair 21'
Brenner 34'
Brenner 52'
Léo Jardim 60'
Andrés Gómez 61'
Cuiabano 67'
David 74'
José Luis Rodríguez 90'+10'

Aug 1, 2026 9.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Andrés Gómez 30'
Claudio Spinelli 90'+4'

Luciano Acosta 28'
Agustín Canobbio 53'
Hércules 88'

Mar 19, 2026 12.30am

3

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

José Luis Rodríguez 46'
Johan Rojas 46'
Nuno Moreira 59'
Adson 68'
Claudio Spinelli 68'
Adson 69'
Claudio Spinelli 69'
79'
Brenner 79'
Brenner 80'
Claudio Spinelli 88'
Thiago Mendes 90'+5'

Agustín Canobbio 1'
Otávio 46'
Hércules 54'
67'
Rodrigo Castillo 67'
Ganso 68'
Rodrigo Castillo 69'
Ganso 69'
Guga 79'
79'
Kevin Serna 79'
Guga 80'
Kevin Serna 80'

Dec 14, 2025 11.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

ET

Samuel Xavier 10'
Paulo Henrique 36'
Luciano Acosta 44'
Nonato 45'+1'
Kevin Serna 68'
Agustin Canobbio 78'

Andres Gomez 32'
Carlos Cuesta 75'
Paulo Henrique 89'

Dec 11, 2025 11.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Leo Jardim 17'
Rayan 50'
Pablo Vegetti 90'+4'
Pablo Vegetti 90'+6'

Kevin Serna 22'

Oct 20, 2025 11.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Form Data

Athletico PR 3 - 3 Fluminense

Fluminense 2 - 1 Remo

Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Fluminense

Fluminense 3 - 2 Palmeiras

Fluminense 0 - 0 Independiente Rivadavia

Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense

Vitoria 0 - 2 Vasco

Vasco 3 - 1 Cruzeiro

Vasco 1 - 0 Vitoria

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Vasco

Olimpia 1 - 4 Vasco

Vasco 0 - 3 Santos