Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 16, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Pablo Maia 41' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 43' goal
  • Lucas Ramon 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Cóser 5'
  • goal Tiago Cóser 57'

Sao Paulo vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 8.00pm
Gremio 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Luciano

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 12.30am
Coritiba 2 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.31% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 61.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 23.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Coritiba 15.29% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.89% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.11% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 44.48%
Draw 41.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Coritiba 14.05%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 65.39% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Coritiba 26.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 23.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 55.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.72%
Under 9 33.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 44.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 55.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 53.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 25.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 49.55% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 50.45% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 16.56% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 83.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 3.73% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 96.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 0.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 61.44%
Draw 23.31%
Coritiba 15.3%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 61.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 23.31%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 15.3%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • JP Chermont 33' yellowcard
  • Pedro Rangel 56' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Lavega 69' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 69' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 69' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cauly 57'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 64'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 65'
  • yellowcard Luan Santos 75'
  • yellowcard Damián Bobadilla 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 27, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • James Rodriguez 3' goal
  • 25' goal
  • Alan Franco 30' goal
  • Luciano 45'+13' goal
  • Luan 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robson 6'
  • goal Islam Slimani 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 69'
  • yellowcard Henrique 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Bruno Gomes 12' goal
  • goal Marcos Paulo 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 21, 2022 12.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Calleri 2' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 63' goal
  • Luciano 72' goal
  • goal Matheus Cadorini 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 10, 2022 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emmanuel Martinez 38' yellowcard
  • Alef Manga 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alef Manga 59' goal
  • Igor Paixao 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 4'
  • yellowcard Diego 30'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 75'
  • yellowcard Eder 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Jan 23, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano 59' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 70'
  • goal Martin Sarrafiore 82'
  • yellowcard Matheus Galdezani 84'