Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 12, 2026 1.00am
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.00pm
Coritiba 0 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 8.00pm
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 35.98% and a draw has a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win is 0-1 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).

Result

Coritiba 37.54% (+0.04)
Draw 26.48% (-0.90)
Athletico Paranaense 35.98% (+0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.68% (+1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.26% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 24.74% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 52.53% (+1.54)
Under 2.5 47.47% (-1.54)
Over 3.5 31.53% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 68.47% (-1.58)
Over 4.5 18.7% (+1.27)
Under 4.5 81.3% (-1.27)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 25.14% (-0.59)
Draw 50.3% (+0.36)
Athletico Paranaense 24.56% (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 48.76% (-0.75)
No Goal 7.25% (-0.42)
Athletico Paranaense 43.99% (+1.18)

Corners

Over 8 59.22% (+0.50)
Equal 8 11.59% (+0.09)
Under 8 29.2% (-0.58)
Over 9 47.26% (+0.36)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.15)
Under 9 40.78% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 35.99% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 64.01% (-0.20)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 38.62% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 61.38% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 16.2% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 83.8% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.33)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 69.92% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 30.08% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 37.77% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 62.23% (-1.14)
Over 2.5 16.14% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 83.86% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 6.05% (+0.64)
Under 3.5 93.95% (-0.65)

Score analysis

Coritiba 37.53%
Draw 26.49%
Athletico Paranaense 35.98%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.68% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.16)
Other @ 5.56% (+0.33)
Total : 37.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.37)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.02)
Total : 26.49%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.26)
1-2 @ 7.97% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.87% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.07)
Other @ 5.8% (+0.65)
Total : 35.98%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Dudu 22' goal
  • Juan Portilla 45' yellowcard
  • Kevin Viveros 56' goal
  • Chiqueti 74' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Júnior Leite dos Santos 75' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabinho 58'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Lavega 58'
  • yellowcard Keno 68'
  • yellowcard Vini Paulista 68'
  • yellowcard Felipe Jonatan 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Victor Luis 14' goal
  • Marcelino Moreno 39' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 45'+3' goal
  • Diogo 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caca 12'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 52'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 81'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Pablo 49' goal
  • Willian 90'+1' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 90'+7' goal
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 20'
  • goal Robson 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Santana 90' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Porfirio 15' yellowcard
  • Neilton 25' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martinez 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Porfirio 86' redcard
  • Rafael William 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Pablo Siles 58'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cittadini 70'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 77'
  • yellowcard Matheus Babi 80'
  • goal Khellven 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hernandez 90'+11'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Jan 9, 2021 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robson 53' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cittadini 44'