Copa Sudamericana
Sep 8, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Fe win with a probability of 35.53%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 34.9% and a draw has a probability of 29.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 (10.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).

Result

Santa Fe 35.53% (-0.37)
Draw 29.54% (-0.14)
Vasco da Gama 34.9% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.76% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.5% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 31.5% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 42.68% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 57.32% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 22.62% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 77.35% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 12% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 88% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Santa Fe 28.31%
Draw 49.42%
Vasco da Gama 22.27%

Team To Score First

Santa Fe 50.9% (+0.11)
No Goal 10% (-0.18)
Vasco da Gama 39.1% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.06%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 39.16%
Over 9 37.83%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 50.94%
Over 10.5 27.98%
Under 10.5 72.02%

Santa Fe Goals

Over 1.5 32.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.16% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.85% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.15% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.06)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 66.65% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 33.35% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 32.19% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 67.81% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 12.18% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 87.82% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 3.68% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 96.32% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Santa Fe 35.54%
Draw 29.54%
Vasco da Gama 34.91%
Santa Fe
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52% (-0.05)
Total : 35.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 29.54%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.48% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.04% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.94% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.43% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.35% (+0.13)
Total : 34.91%