Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Benin had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.