Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Freethiel Stadion

Waasland
2 - 0
Mouscron

Koita (57'), Frey (90+2')
Frey (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Onana (35'), da Costa (67')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Waasland-Beveren and Royal Excel Mouscron.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waasland-Beveren win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waasland-Beveren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waasland-Beveren would win this match.

Result
Waasland-BeverenDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
40.34%24.62%35.04%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9%44.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52%66.48%
Waasland-Beveren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14%21.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9%55.1%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86%59.14%
Score Analysis
    Waasland-Beveren 40.34%
    Royal Excel Mouscron 35.04%
    Draw 24.62%
Waasland-BeverenDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
2-1 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 40.34%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-1 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.04%