Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.