AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 18, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Al-Shaab Stadium

Al-Shorta
0 - 3
Esteghlal


Ali (85'), Karrar (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Naderi (44'), Esmaeili (55'), Diabate (65')
Hossein Moradmand (26'), Khaghani (61')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Shorta and Esteghlal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Shorta win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Shorta win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Al-ShortaDrawEsteghlal
48.47%24.5%27.03%
Both teams to score 55.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94%47.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7%69.3%
Al-Shorta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66%51.34%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63%31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26%67.75%
Score Analysis
    Al-Shorta 48.47%
    Esteghlal 27.03%
    Draw 24.49%
Al-ShortaDrawEsteghlal
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.03%