Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.