Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 7, 2026 8.35am
Juventus Stadium

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00am
Wellington 0 - 1 Sydney FC
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Tiago Quintal

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.35am
Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result

Sydney FC 42.88% (-0.01)
Draw 23.69% (+0.02)
Melbourne Victory 33.43% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.62% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 61.64%
Under 2.5 38.36%
Over 3.5 39.38% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.62% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.78% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.22% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sydney FC 33.01% (-0.03)
Draw 39.78% (-0.01)
Melbourne Victory 27.21% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Sydney FC 51.52% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.24%
Melbourne Victory 44.24% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 73.07% (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.03% (+0.01)
Under 8 17.91% (-0.04)
Over 9 62.63% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.43% (+0.01)
Under 9 26.93% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 51.59% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 48.41% (-0.02)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 1.5 47.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.91%
Under 3.5 91.09%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 70.82% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.11% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.89% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sydney FC 42.89%
Draw 23.69%
Melbourne Victory 33.43%
Sydney FC
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.5%
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 23.69%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 5.73% (+0.03)
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Jan 26, 2026 6.40am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 53' goal
  • Clarismario 53' goal
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 64' goal
  • Clarismario 64' goal
  • Jordi Valadon 68' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 68' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 76' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 79' goal
  • Lachlan Jackson 82' goal
  • Jackson Lachlan 82' goal
  • Jing Reec 83' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 83' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 84' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 84' yellowcard
  • Joshua Inserra 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Courtney-Perkins 45'
  • yellowcard Jordan Courtney-Perkins 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Wataru Kamijo 56'
  • yellowcard Mathias Langeland Macallister 56'
  • yellowcard Alexandar Popovic 56'
  • yellowcard W. Kamijo 56'
  • yellowcard Akol Akon 89'
  • yellowcard Nickolas Alfaro 89'
Australian A-League
Nov 22, 2025 8.35am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Jan 24, 2025 8.35am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Nikolaos Vergos 24' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 29' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 23'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 8.35am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Joe Lolley 2' goal
  • Joe Lolley 26' goal
  • Adrian Segecic 68' yellowcard
  • Jaiden Kucharski 86' goal
  • redcard Zinedine Machach 16'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 51'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 67'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 70'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hamill 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Zinedine Machach 17' goal
  • Rai Marchan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 10'
  • redcard Patrick Wood 36'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Daniel Arzani 20' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 24' goal
  • Adama Traore 48' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 56' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 57' goal
  • Ben Folami 66' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel King 44'
  • yellowcard Rhyan Grant 71'