Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.