Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Wellington
Mar 1, 2026 2.00am
Westpac Stadium
Sydney FC

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 4.00am
Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Eze Kelvin

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00am
Sydney FC 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Tiago Quintal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 32.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

Wellington Phoenix 32.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 23.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Sydney FC 43.96% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.72% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 21.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 55.99% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 44.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 34.25% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 65.75% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 19.99% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 80.01% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 23.19%
Draw 38.22%
Sydney FC 38.6%

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 37.6% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Sydney FC 56.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 26.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 50.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 37.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 38.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 61.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 35.72% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 64.28% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 14.16% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 85.84% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.58% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.42% ▼ (-0.10)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 75.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.23%
Under 3.5 91.77%

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 32.18%
Draw 23.87%
Sydney FC 43.96%
Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 32.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.87%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.35%
Other @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 43.96%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Sydney FC
Jan 18, 2026 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadium
Wellington
  • Alexandar Popovic 46' yellowcard
  • Tiago Quintal 46' yellowcard
  • Corey Hollman 46' yellowcard
  • Akol Akon 55' yellowcard
  • Alex Grant 79' yellowcard
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 79' yellowcard
  • Marin France 79' yellowcard
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 80' yellowcard
  • Marin France 80' yellowcard
  • goal Carlo Armiento 29'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 59'
  • goal Isaac Hughes 63'
  • yellowcard Fin Conchie 66'
  • yellowcard Fin Conchie 67'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kelly-Heald 76'
  • yellowcard Nikola Mileusnic 76'
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 76'
  • yellowcard Bill Tuiloma 76'
  • yellowcard N. Mileusnić 76'
  • yellowcard Nikola Mileusnic 77'
  • yellowcard Bill Tuiloma 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Sydney FC
Mar 16, 2025 8.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Stadium
Wellington
  • Adrian Segecic 7' goal
  • Rhyan Grant 82' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 38'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 82'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 82'
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Wellington
Jan 15, 2025 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 82' yellowcard
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Segecic 22'
  • yellowcard Adrian Segecic 22'
  • yellowcard Leo Sena 78'
  • yellowcard Leo Sena 78'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Wellington
Mar 16, 2024 4.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Eden Park
Sydney FC
  • Hayden Matthews 54' goal
  • Hayden Matthews 54' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 69' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 69' goal
  • Sam Sutton 79' yellowcard
  • Sam Sutton 79' yellowcard
  • Scott Wootton 89' yellowcard
  • Scott Wootton 89' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Mak 6'
  • goal Robert Mak 6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Sydney FC
Dec 29, 2023 8.45am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Stadium
Wellington
  • Rhyan Grant 11' goal
  • Jaiden Kucharski 25' yellowcard
  • Jack Rodwell 33' yellowcard
  • Jake Girdwood-Reich 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Mak 63' yellowcard
  • Max Burgess 83' yellowcard
  • Robert Mak 86' goal
  • Patrick Wood 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabio Gomes 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Gomes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 81'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Wellington
Mar 12, 2023 2.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Oskar Zawada 21' goal

Form Data

Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC
Western Sydney 2 - 2 Wellington
Wellington 2 - 3 Victory
Wellington 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington
Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington
Sydney FC 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Auckland FC
Sydney FC 1 - 2 Adelaide United
Auckland FC 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 4 - 1 Western Sydney
Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC