Mar 1, 2026 2.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Luke Brooke-Smith 64'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 81'
N. Mileusnić 81'

Víctor Campuzano 46'
Alexandar Popovic 49'
Al Hassan Touré 59'
Rhys Youlley 77'
Marcel Tisserand 87'

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

L
D
L
D
L
W

Australian A-League

L
D
L
D
L
W

Last game

Feb 21, 2026 4.00am

Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Eze Kelvin

Sydney FC

All competitions

W
D
L
L
W
L

Australian A-League

W
D
L
L
W
L

Last game

Feb 21, 2026 6.00am

Sydney FC 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Victor Campuzano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 32.51% ▲ (+0.34)

Draw 24.03% ▲ (+0.17)

Sydney FC 43.46% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score:

56.42% ▼ (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% ▼ (-0.55)

Under 1.5 22.33% ▲ (+0.55)

Over 2.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.96)

Under 2.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.96)

Over 3.5 33.14% ▼ (-1.11)

Under 3.5 66.86% ▲ (+1.11)

Over 4.5 19.19% ▼ (-0.80)

Under 4.5 80.81% ▲ (+0.80)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 23.19%

Draw 38.22%

Sydney FC 38.6%

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 37.5% ▼ (-0.11)

No Goal 5.76% ▲ (+0.18)

Sydney FC 56.74% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.04% ▼ (-0.31)

Equal 8 11.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 8 26.67% ▲ (+0.33)

Over 9 50.12% ▼ (-0.25)

Equal 9 11.92% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 9 37.96% ▲ (+0.31)

Over 10.5 38.63% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 10.5 61.37% ▲ (+0.18)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 35.46% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 1.5 64.54% ▲ (+0.27)

Over 2.5 13.95% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 2.5 86.05% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 3.5 4.49% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 3.5 95.51% ▲ (+0.10)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 74.92% ▼ (-0.54)

Under 0.5 25.08% ▲ (+0.54)

Over 1.5 44.76% ▼ (-0.97)

Under 1.5 55.24% ▲ (+0.97)

Over 2.5 20.24% ▼ (-0.91)

Under 2.5 79.76% ▲ (+0.91)

Over 3.5 7.81% ▼ (-0.43)

Under 3.5 92.19% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 32.5%

Draw 24.04%

Sydney FC 43.46%

Wellington Phoenix

1-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.21)

2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.07)

2-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.16)

3-1 @ 3.5%

3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)

3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 32.5%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.7% ▲ (+0.19)

2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.09)

0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.18)

3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Total : 24.04%

Sydney FC

1-2 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.08)

0-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.17)

0-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.06)

1-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.22)

0-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.19)

Other @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.38)

Total : 43.46%

Head to Head

Jan 18, 2026 6.00am

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Allianz Stadium

Alexandar Popovic 46'
Tiago Quintal 46'
Corey Hollman 46'
Akol Akon 55'
Alex Grant 79'
Jordan Courtney-Perkins 79'
Marin France 79'
Jordan Courtney-Perkins 80'
Marin France 80'

Carlo Armiento 29'
Paulo Retre 59'
Isaac Hughes 63'
Fin Conchie 66'
Fin Conchie 67'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 76'
Nikola Mileusnic 76'
Corban Piper 76'
Bill Tuiloma 76'
N. Mileusnić 76'
Nikola Mileusnic 77'
Bill Tuiloma 77'

Mar 16, 2025 8.00am

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Allianz Stadium

Adrian Segecic 7'
Rhyan Grant 82'

Kosta Barbarouses 38'
Alex Rufer 82'
Kosta Barbarouses 82'
Corban Piper 90'+5'

Jan 15, 2025 6.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Kazuki Nagasawa 82'
Kazuki Nagasawa 82'

Adrian Segecic 22'
Adrian Segecic 22'
Leo Sena 78'
Leo Sena 78'

Mar 16, 2024 4.30am

2

1

HT : 0 2

FT Eden Park

Hayden Matthews 54'
Hayden Matthews 54'
Kosta Barbarouses 69'
Kosta Barbarouses 69'
Sam Sutton 79'
Sam Sutton 79'
Scott Wootton 89'
Scott Wootton 89'

Robert Mak 6'
Robert Mak 6'

Dec 29, 2023 8.45am

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Allianz Stadium

Rhyan Grant 11'
Jaiden Kucharski 25'
Jack Rodwell 33'
Jake Girdwood-Reich 43'
Robert Mak 63'
Max Burgess 83'
Robert Mak 86'
Patrick Wood 90'+1'
Fabio Gomes 90'+4'
Fabio Gomes 90'+5'

Kosta Barbarouses 81'
Sam Sutton 88'

Mar 12, 2023 2.00am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Oskar Zawada 21'

Form Data

Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC

Western Sydney 2 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 3 Victory

Wellington 2 - 2 Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington

Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington

Sydney FC 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Auckland FC

Sydney FC 1 - 2 Adelaide United

Auckland FC 1 - 0 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 4 - 1 Western Sydney

Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC