Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.45% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.