Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 24, 2026 9.40am
AAMI Park

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.00am
Wellington 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Charles Nduka

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.00am
Auckland FC 3 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Quinn MacNicol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Melbourne City has a probability of 31.86% and a draw has a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Melbourne City win is 1-2 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 44.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 23.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Melbourne City 31.86% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.15% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 32.27%
Draw 42%
Melbourne City 25.73%

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 48.65% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Melbourne City 46.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.78%
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 24.67%
Over 9 53.42%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 35.22%
Over 10.5 42.2%
Under 10.5 57.8%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 45.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 21.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 78.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▼ (-0.03)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 68.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 44.44%
Draw 23.73%
Melbourne City 31.86%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 44.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.73%
Melbourne City
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 31.86%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 21, 2026 8.35am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Max Caputo 32' goal
  • Kavian Rahmani 58' yellowcard
  • Emin Durakovic 59' yellowcard
  • Andreas Kuen 70' yellowcard
  • Zane Schreiber 70' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 78' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Mata 20'
  • yellowcard Matthew Grimaldi 62'
  • yellowcard Nikos Vergos 62'
  • goal Juan Mata 64'
  • yellowcard Clarismario 81'
  • goal Clarismario 89'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 90'+2'
Australian A-League
Dec 20, 2025 8.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • German Ferreyra 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Davidson 17'
  • yellowcard Louis D'Arrigo 50'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 72'
  • goal Matthew Grimaldi 90'+1'
Australian A-League
Nov 8, 2025 8.35am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League
May 31, 2025 10.40am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Yonatan Cohen 10' goal
  • Yonatan Cohen 33' yellowcard
  • German Ferreyra 63' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 79' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Rawlins 73'
  • yellowcard Joshua Inserra 78'
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 48' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 45'+7' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 53' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 50'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 56'
  • goal Kai Trewin 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 21, 2024 8.35am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
  • Roderick Miranda 65' goal
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Samuel Souprayen 69'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 85'