Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 26, 2026 8.30am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Marcus Younis 17' goal
  • Harrison Delbridge 40' yellowcard
  • Besian Kutleshi 63' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 63' yellowcard
  • Medin Memeti 75' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Wong 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Muñiz 63'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Craig Goodwin 78'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 79'
  • yellowcard Austin Ayoubi 89'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 90'+8'

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 8.00am
Brisbane Roar 2 - 3 Melbourne City
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Marcus Younis

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 6.30am
Adelaide United 3 - 1 Macarthur
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Luka Jovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 49.26% (-0.04)
Draw 24.12% (+0.05)
Adelaide United 26.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.17% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.98% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 55.19% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.81% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 33.11% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.89% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.6% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.4% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 40.53%
Draw 37.29%
Adelaide United 22.18%

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 58.1% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.9% (+0.04)
Adelaide United 36% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.2%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 25.3%
Over 9 50.91%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 36.8%
Over 10.5 38.98%
Under 10.5 61.02%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 49.18% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.82% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 23.77% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.53% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.47% (+0.02)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 37.02% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.53% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.47% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.96% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 49.27%
Draw 24.11%
Adelaide United 26.62%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.34% (-0.02)
Total : 49.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.11%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.17% (-0.02)
Total : 26.62%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 21, 2025 8.35am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 28
Apr 26, 2025 10.35am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Kai Trewin 39' yellowcard
  • German Ferreyra 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Alagich 15'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 60'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2025 8.35am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Stefan Mauk 14' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 52' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 50'
  • yellowcard German Ferreyra 57'
  • yellowcard Marco Tilio 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 25, 2024 8.45am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Terry Antonis 5' goal
  • Terry Antonis 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Tunnicliffe 35'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 79'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovanovic 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 8.00am
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Nestory Irankunda 14' goal
  • Isaias Sanchez 18' yellowcard
  • Callum Talbot 29' goal
  • Panashe Madanha 47' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tunnicliffe 75' goal
  • Musa Toure 81' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 88' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 49'
  • yellowcard Leo Natel 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Lachlan Barr 45'+3' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 50' goal
  • Louis D'Arrigo 57' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 85' goal
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 9'
  • goal Marco Tilio 62'