Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.83%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 21.24% and a draw has a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.24%) and 1-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (5.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.9%).