Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 6, 2026 8.35am
Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.35am
Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Luka Jovanovic

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00am
Wellington 0 - 1 Sydney FC
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Eze Kelvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.83%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 21.24% and a draw has a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.24%) and 1-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (5.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.9%).

Result

Adelaide United 57.83%
Draw 20.92%
Wellington Phoenix 21.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.45%
Under 1.5 14.55%
Over 2.5 66.71%
Under 2.5 33.26%
Over 3.5 44.81%
Under 3.5 55.19%
Over 4.5 29.74%
Under 4.5 70.26%

First Half Winner

Adelaide United 46.58%
Draw 33.74%
Wellington Phoenix 19.68%

Team To Score First

Adelaide United 64.73%
No Goal 3.62%
Wellington Phoenix 31.65%

Corners

Over 8 68.37%
Equal 8 10.13%
Under 8 21.5%
Over 9 57.11%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 31.63%
Over 10.5 45.66%
Under 10.5 54.34%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 1.5 61.66%
Under 1.5 38.34%
Over 2.5 36.38%
Under 2.5 63.62%
Over 3.5 18.34%
Under 3.5 81.66%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 58.79%
Under 0.5 41.21%
Over 1.5 29.97%
Under 1.5 70.03%
Over 2.5 10.77%
Under 2.5 89.23%
Over 3.5 3.3%
Under 3.5 96.7%

Score analysis

Adelaide United 57.84%
Draw 20.93%
Wellington Phoenix 21.24%
Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 7.24%
1-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 18.03%
Total : 57.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 3.62%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.93%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-1 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.24%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 11, 2026 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Luke Brooke-Smith 46' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hughes 56' goal
  • Corban Piper 65' goal
  • Paulo Retre 67' yellowcard
  • Nikola Mileusnic 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan White 14'
  • goal Luke Duzel 44'
  • yellowcard Austin Ayoubi 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Najdovski 79'
Australian A-League
Nov 29, 2025 4.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Rufer 13' goal
  • Carlo Armiento 41' yellowcard
  • Ramy Najjarine 52' goal
  • yellowcard Yaya Dukuly 60'
  • goal Joey Garuccio 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Apr 18, 2025 10.35am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 8' goal
  • Stefan Mauk 12' goal
  • Stefan Mauk 44' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 52' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 89' goal
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 31'
  • goal Isaac Hughes 35'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 44'
  • yellowcard Luke Brooke-Smith 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 11, 2025 4.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Corban Piper 50' goal
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 90' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Sheridan 7' (OG)
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 75'
  • yellowcard Bart Vriends 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovanovic 90'+7'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 4.00am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Ben Old 34' goal
  • Ben Old 34' goal
  • Oskar van Hattum 69' goal
  • Oskar van Hattum 69' goal
  • Ben Old 78' goal
  • Ben Old 78' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 54'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 54'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 60'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 60'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Warland 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Warland 76'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+2'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+4'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 4, 2024 8.45am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 26' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 37' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tunnicliffe 41' yellowcard
  • Alexandar Popovic 43' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 55' goal
  • Benjamin Warland 83' redcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 15'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 46'
  • yellowcard Alex Paulsen 77'
  • yellowcard Oskar van Hattum 90'+2'